Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.356520 2.463222 2.574044 2.698104 2.833554 2.977459 3.142578
2025-11-16 2.143977 2.291312 2.450836 2.637721 2.852426 3.093597 3.388250
2025-11-23 2.011430 2.185812 2.380724 2.617453 2.901094 3.235379 3.667771
2025-11-30 1.920940 2.115811 2.339379 2.619299 2.967207 3.395483 3.980312
2025-12-07 1.832319 2.039086 2.281128 2.591556 2.989046 3.496592 4.223429
2025-12-14 1.739442 1.950276 2.200750 2.527814 2.956231 3.519188 4.357146
2025-12-21 1.691562 1.912169 2.178549 2.533445 3.010535 3.658864 4.670228
2025-12-28 1.664641 1.897442 2.183268 2.572130 3.109530 3.867213 5.114222
2026-01-04 1.609263 1.844077 2.135478 2.537380 3.103094 3.920968 5.319041
2026-01-11 1.578303 1.819824 2.123335 2.548786 3.161076 4.074152 5.712494
2026-01-18 1.557154 1.806802 2.124596 2.577656 3.245185 4.274778 6.226637
2026-01-25 1.515501 1.765429 2.086169 2.548369 3.239794 4.330285 6.477122
2026-02-01 1.459276 1.705715 2.024201 2.487467 3.189825 4.319905 6.623500
2026-02-08 1.413568 1.658691 1.978020 2.447550 3.170602 4.361872 6.895900
2026-02-15 1.380392 1.627081 1.951477 2.434582 3.192590 4.478212 7.365338
2026-02-22 1.355159 1.605026 1.936913 2.438042 3.240667 4.647174 8.014620
2026-03-01 1.322708 1.572029 1.905605 2.414401 3.241843 4.728275 8.473002
2026-03-08 1.281844 1.526355 1.854807 2.358592 3.184900 4.690325 8.597679
2026-03-15 1.262706 1.509664 1.844249 2.363656 3.231552 4.862849 9.398294
2026-03-22 1.253623 1.506332 1.852366 2.397746 3.330947 5.158517 10.755497
2026-03-29 1.225772 1.476138 1.820590 2.367177 3.312608 5.199890 11.262361
2026-04-05 1.211236 1.464029 1.814574 2.377227 3.368508 5.414170 12.586484
2026-04-12 1.201782 1.458672 1.818104 2.402630 3.454729 5.714074 14.589416